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A new working paper from The Anthropic Institute, co-authored by UVA Darden Professor Anton Korinek, presents a framework for assessing the economic consequences of AI between 2026 and 2030. It models three potential paths of AI capabilities into implied paths for GDP, the labor share, wages, labor reallocation and unemployment.       

Prediction markets are everywhere. From sports and elections to questions about interest rates, regulation, and the future of the economy. Even entertainment is getting into the game: now trading, the Big Brother Season 28 winner. How do these markets work, who influences them, and what challenges lie ahead?

Private assets are becoming more accessible, but so are the risks. Darden Professor Rich Evans says investors need to understand liquidity risk and access private markets through professionally managed portfolios that balance liquid and illiquid investments.

AI is reshaping marketing by changing what makes customer data valuable. Darden Professor Raj Venkatesan explains why competitive advantage now depends less on collecting more data and more on using AI to transform it into customer knowledge that drives smarter decisions and stronger performance.

New research from UVA Darden professor Saed Alizamir suggests that small changes to the way smart thermostats are designed and used could lower household energy bills while easing strain on an increasingly stressed power grid.

New fintech apps promise a direct line from socially conscious buyers to small-scale growers and let shoppers tip the smallholders who harvest everything from coffee to cocoa. But research by Darden Professor Saed Alizamir shows that without guardrails, this well-intentioned strategy can backfire, leaving workers exposed to severe income risk.

New research co-authored by UVA Darden assistant professor Christoph Herpfer finds that banks are pricing physical climate risk into corporate loans—but, surprisingly, those risk premiums are often overinflated.

The human brain is the most powerful network ever built: 86 billion neurons connected by more than 100 trillion synapses, enabling us to think, learn, and adapt. What happens when those connections break? Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Mike Lenox speak with UVA Professor Jack Van Horn.

Kalshi and Polymarket have surged in value and volume in the past year. A new Darden case, focusing on a media analytics firm’s gametime dilemma, asks students to wrestle with how accurate these prediction platforms are, and how companies should take them into account in determining their forecasts.

As artificial intelligence disrupts many industries, MBA students and alumni are increasingly betting on “boring” businesses such as HVAC, plumbing and electrical companies that keep the economy running. Darden Professor Les Alexander explains why.